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For 18Bet statistics, you need to visit the stats page on 18Bet. Visual aids that make it easy to understand statistics Very practical and easy to use Easier access to the information sought with different filters See more Get bonus How bookmaker stats work Betting stats are one of the many useful tools that sports bettors can use when they are researching a play to wager on. It is important to realize that statistics are just a compilation of data that are a product of past events.
For example, bookmakers with football betting statistics will let you find and analyze all previous data for a particular football team. While bookmakers with betting statistics can be helpful in determining an expected result, there are many other factors and intangibles that are just as important.
That is why the games are played. Underdogs frequently win despite all odds. For example, you can make an accurate prediction for a clean sheet in soccer by using this data, but you still need to consider other factors.
You still need experience, luck, and other betting strategies to win. How to read data at bookmakers with statistics There are many ways to read into the statistics offered by the best online betting sites. Many punters are believers in following the early line movement They can see that when the odds for, say NFL football games are released, that certain games get a lot of action which causes the spread to move.
Some punters will interpret this as a possible weak line. Punters can also detect reverse line movements Here the overwhelming majority of individual bets favor one side but the odds move against it. An example would be a game in which the New York Giants open up as a favorite over the Philadelphia Eagles.
Despite the overwhelming majority of individual bettors backing the Giants, the line moves down to This indicates that the minority of bettors are placing a much larger amount of money on the Eagles. Do you follow the crowd or follow the money? To decide, it would be best to play at live streaming betting sites as you will have access to real time info.
In this regard, odds themselves may help you to decide: Read our betting odds explained guide for more info and make sure to check our list of best odds bookmakers. Some sports bettors will also look at historic results If the Boston Bruins are favorites, punters might want to see the past results of games in which they were similarly favored.
Betting stats can show team and individual streaks In baseball, punters can examine umpire statistics. Umpires with smaller strike zones will be prone to be involved in higher scoring games while the umpires with more generous zones will favor the pitchers and fewer runs. There are many ways to use betting stats at bookmakers with betting statistics.
Some hold more meaning than others but they are all helpful. Weather, injuries, and suspensions can have an impact. Referees, team travel and many motivational factors such as division rivalries are a few more angles that should be used in conjunction with statistics. What kind of data is available at bookmakers with betting statistics?
YANKEES ODDS TO WIN AL EAST
The tool for identifying the relevant statistics is called regression analysis. You could make a simple bar chart. One vertical column is the percentage of away games that the team has won over the past two or three years, and the second column is the percentage of home games won.
If your theory about home-field advantage is correct, the second column should be taller. Here comes the statistical analysis. Draw a line from the top of one column to the top of the other. The steeper the line, the more significant the home-field advantage is.
If the line is steep, home-field advantage plays a more significant role. The steeper the line, the more importance you should assign this factor when predicting whether your team will win. You can easily test whether odd or even dates have statistical significance. In column one, list the percentage of games won on odd dates — June 1, June 3, and so on. In the second column, the winning percentage on even dates: the second, the fourth, and so on.
These are very simple examples. For example, you might want to determine whether your team has a better record in high-scoring games or low-scoring games. You can do the same calculation for the opponent your team will face this week. Use different columns for each score. Multiple regression analysis lets you combine these figures with related ones.
For example, you can determine whether your team is more likely to play a high-scoring game at home or on the road. Do the same for the other team. These successive analyses let you use history in a sophisticated way to make a prediction about the upcoming game. Regression analysis is what gives Tony Bloom his edge. Bloom analyses more factors than bookies do. But sometimes the gap is big enough to justify a bet.
The maths for statistical betting is simple but the notation looks complicated. When there are hundreds of data points instead of just the numbers at the top of the two columns, you need to use an algebraic technique called linear least squares to plot the line that best fits the data. The steepness of that line, remember, tells you how significant the factors are. Luckily, a quick trip to Google or Bing will yield a bucketload of free spreadsheet templates for calculating least squares — and for performing multiple-factor regression analysis.
If you want to get the most accurate results, you have to analyse as many variables as possible. This includes not just team data, but individual player data too. Collecting as much football data as possible is key. That is a true point. A profound one. And for our purposes, it is irrelevant. If our team performs better when the temperature is low, then we can use that data in making a prediction.
In statistical betting, correlation is enough. Bayesian Statistics The regression analysis we have explored so far is a powerful tool for making predictions. It can certainly help you make better bets. You can think of the output of your regression analysis as a probability distribution: the likelihood of each possible outcome. You can use the figures to create models that represent the range of probabilities.
Bayesian networks are based on a probabilistic graphical model that presents a set of variables with their conditional dependencies. For level one, you want to determine the strength of the team using data like league wins, home wins, and average goals per game. For level two, you factor in the injuries for each team. You can find that data posted on most football betting sites. Once you have populated both levels with data, you can make a better prediction about the final score.
Bayesian statistical analysis is complex both conceptually and mathematically. You can download free spreadsheet templates to help you set up a Bayesian model, or you can purchase a commercial statistical-analysis package and add the data you wish to analyse. Poisson Distribution Poisson distribution is a mathematical concept that gives you a chance to translate averages into a probability for variable outcomes. Poisson distribution analysis lets you predict the number of goals the team will score in the next game for the purposes of statistics betting.
The technique takes advantage of the fact that the team can average 2. In this case, the distribution tells you much more about what is likely to happen than the average does. Just copy the historical data you find in online sports databases and the app or spreadsheet template will crunch the numbers for you.
The only thing left to do is translate the probabilities into bets. Update your data after each game. Whether you win or lose a bet, study the statistics until you know why. Unfortunately, I was one of them, but later down the road started following only smart betting strategies. Play the Percentage is gathering data from tens of thousands of football fixtures by covering over leagues from around the world every year.
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So, you are getting the most accurate data about corner or goal predictions. Pre-match statistics are also a strong part of their services. How to join these Play the Percentage telegram groups? After subscribing, you will have a detailed guide on how to join the simple PTP play the percentage telegram community and these alert services too. Based on my experience these, groups and channels are worth the subscription fee by themselves.
The user interface at Play the Percentage As you can see from my screenshots, their layout is not focusing on the most modern, futuristic design. In my opinion, this is a big advantage of this service. The owners and developers of this fantastic statistical tool focused more on the utility and efficiency of their service.
They are simple bettors like us, intending to create a complex, useful, yet easy-to-use website for bettors who want to optimize and increase their betting results. From the start, the number of menu items and filters could seem a little too much. But after minutes of testing, you will become comfortable with using all of their tools. Play the Percentage Price They have two different subscription plans. And you can try both of them for free for 7 days.
You can have access to the whole detailed strategy on their blog by clicking here.
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