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ncaa tournament first round betting odds

When is the NCAA Basketball Tournament? · Selection Sunday: March 12 · First Four: March · First and second rounds: March Betting against the spread will be more common for lopsided games, for example, if Gonzaga is a point favorite against its first-round. North Carolina, Kentucky, Gonzaga, and Houston are tied for the best odds at DraftKings with +; the same four are the betting favorites at BetMGM but at +. BEST LIVE BETTING SPORTSBOOK

Figure 2 gives the actual average make-up of the Final Four, based on historical data. Figure 2: Historical make-up of the Final Four, based on seeds. The data here is best summarized by looking at the distribution of the highest seed, the second-highest seed, the third seed and the lowest seed.

As we can see, there is almost always at least one No. The third-highest seed is most often a No. This gives a clear indication of the relative strength or weakness of each team in each region. With overall top seed and tournament-favorite Gonzaga sitting on the top of the bracket, the West is the hardest of the four regions.

The Zags grade out with over a 50 percent chance to advance to the Final Four. At a glance, Table 1 reveals that only No. As a result, No. It is also notable that No. As for No. In the first two rounds of the West Region, my metrics suggest the following upsets: No.

As a final note on the West, if you are looking for a potential Cinderella to make a surprising run to Sweet 16, No. Overall, the South Region is in a virtual dead heat with the East Region as the second-most challenging bracket. Note that No.

As for first-round and second-round upsets, the data suggests the following: No. Either way, I project that No. My analysis yesterday did not make any clear recommendations for a second-round exit from a No. This also implies that the Ramblers are my double-digit Cinderella picks for the South Region. This would set up the following Sweet 16 matchups: No. Houston finished the season ranked No. That said, Houston is also dealing with some injury issues and I am not sure that my analysis can be completely trusted.

Thus, I am calling an audible on my own analysis. I will take No. It is historically unlikely to see the top-two overall seeds advance to the Final Four and this pick just feels right. The Midwest Region grades out as the easiest of the four regions and at a glance, Table 3 gives a hint as to why.

The top-four seeds in the region are all historically below average. Notably, No. I am not making that prediction, but it is tempting. I then have the Midwest Sweet 16 as follows: No. Therefore, my official pick to win the Midwest just reverts to the team with the best odds, which is No. The line has held steady from the opening line of displaying No. Fresh off winning the Missouri Valley tournament, Loyola Chicago has won seven of their nine games overall.

Senior guard Lucas Williamson leads the Ramblers attack averaging Branden Norris. On the flip side, Ohio State is one of the coldest teams in the tournament having lost four of their last five games overall. In this matchup, Ohio State will lean heavily on forward E. Liddell The junior big-man is as consistent as they come scoring in double-digits in every game this season.

Now is not the time to get in the way of divine intervention. The line has held steady since its opening in favor of No. Virginia Tech drew into the tournament as the No. The Hokies are one of the best teams from beyond the arc in the country, hitting at a The task of extending their four-game winning streak and advancing to the second round of the NCAA tournament will not be easy task against a Texas defense that ranks ninth in the nation in points allowed However, Virginia Tech, besides being exceptional from three-point range, also plays solid on the defensive end, ranking 18th in the nation in scoring defense at

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